Will the next mainline Pokémon RPG change the base shiny rate?

Implied depth from the AMM curve · $3.0K pool.

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if the next mainline Pokémon RPG ships with a base shiny encounter rate different from 1/4096, confirmed via dataminers + Game Freak public statement.

Payout

$1.00 USDC per winning share · $0 per losing share

Closes

Mar 1, 2027, 11:59 PM

Settlement

Atomic on-chain via resolve_market RPC

Liquidity

$3K AMM pool

Verified by

Game datamining + Game Freak / The Pokémon Company official confirmation

Disputes

3-of-5 resolution committee with public evidence thread